gibson:teaching:spring-2015:math445:lab9
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gibson:teaching:spring-2015:math445:lab9 [2015/03/24 07:30] gibson [Warm-up problem #3: flipping 100 coins with uncertain biases] |
gibson:teaching:spring-2015:math445:lab9 [2016/03/24 07:00] (current) gibson [Background] |
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| In the 2012 elections Silver's projections received an enormous amount of attention, and quite a bit of criticism, too. Political pundits derided his work as meaningless number crunching and his 2008 results as lucky. But this time, Silver predicted the Presidential election correctly in all 50 states, and 31 of 33 Senate elections. | In the 2012 elections Silver's projections received an enormous amount of attention, and quite a bit of criticism, too. Political pundits derided his work as meaningless number crunching and his 2008 results as lucky. But this time, Silver predicted the Presidential election correctly in all 50 states, and 31 of 33 Senate elections. | ||
| + | Further reading on Nate Silver, fivethirtyeight.com, and the mathematics of election prediction: | ||
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| + | * [[http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/FiveThirtyEight]] | ||
| + | * [[http://cosmiclog.nbcnews.com/_news/2012/10/30/14809227-political-forecasts-stir-up-a-storm?lite]], | ||
| + | * [[http://www.dailykos.com/story/2012/11/01/1153661/-Nate-Silver-s-Math-Based-Math]] | ||
| + | * [[https://www.google.com/webhp?sourceid=chrome-instant&ion=1&espv=2&ie=UTF-8#q=nate%20silver%20controversy | google:"Nate Silver controversy" ]] | ||
| ==== This lab ==== | ==== This lab ==== | ||
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